What you know
Draw from the dot to the end of the grid.
Score after five companies
Tap a chart to enlarge it.
The computer only looks at past numbers. That’s why a panic doesn’t scare it, but it also misses when growth stalls or explodes.
Computer. A statistical model: exponential smoothing with a damped trend (Gardner & McKenzie, 1985), fitted only to the history shown on the chart. It trusts recent quarters more and extends a trend that fades over time.
Accuracy. 100% minus the sum of absolute errors divided by the sum of actual values over the forecast period.
Note. Independent project, not affiliated with any of the companies shown. For education only, not investment advice.